Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.330325 4.855466 5.427276 6.097445 6.863010 7.712168 8.727986
2025-01-12 3.508130 4.194656 4.998565 6.014405 7.270778 8.782617 10.753043
2025-01-19 2.864895 3.587877 4.480361 5.672510 7.237359 9.240938 12.031846
2025-01-26 2.550778 3.319432 4.310978 5.699000 7.616028 10.206000 14.030935
2025-02-02 2.367344 3.185508 4.282415 5.883016 8.196651 11.478328 16.592031
2025-02-09 2.194747 3.040207 4.212454 5.986625 8.657030 12.613855 19.087764
2025-02-16 2.042136 2.902940 4.132921 6.056882 9.061416 13.695698 21.629664
2025-02-23 1.910169 2.779995 4.057488 6.117323 9.445832 14.776281 24.301650
2025-03-02 1.739757 2.583044 3.850876 5.948997 9.440848 15.218610 25.939358
2025-03-09 1.614371 2.443048 3.717166 5.879245 9.582027 15.907660 28.088941
2025-03-16 1.501372 2.312506 3.585875 5.797860 9.689329 16.541159 30.211298
2025-03-23 1.459505 2.291244 3.626700 6.006415 10.318070 18.166930 34.455623
2025-03-30 1.374916 2.195928 3.541346 5.995174 10.562857 19.137751 37.599124
2025-04-06 1.291037 2.095538 3.439468 5.945059 10.730543 19.983188 40.623441
2025-04-13 1.168136 1.920095 3.195265 5.614076 10.328554 19.659942 41.075559
2025-04-20 1.114379 1.859904 3.147436 5.641685 10.625679 20.779546 44.919541
2025-04-27 1.088351 1.846093 3.180342 5.823924 11.249450 22.653560 50.829821
2025-05-04 1.052496 1.811888 3.173030 5.926425 11.719127 24.255148 56.370861
2025-05-11 1.014724 1.771376 3.150561 5.995897 12.125192 25.765902 61.958648
2025-05-18 0.978389 1.730898 3.124816 6.055652 12.515471 27.289420 67.864094
2025-05-25 0.917236 1.639861 2.995561 5.889245 12.384600 27.567830 70.441964
2025-06-01 0.872157 1.576562 2.915867 5.820287 12.466945 28.369309 74.631999
2025-06-08 0.829002 1.514340 2.834089 5.739827 12.513951 29.088758 78.722814